Hey all and welcome to week 15 of the NFL season, which at the moment is already in swing. I did a Saturday only article on Gridiron if anyone wants to read it, but the majority of my ownership lies with Nick Mullens and TJ Hockenson, so hopefully they are doing well right now. Last week was not good to Boris, so let’s turn it around here in week 15! The majority of all ownership will come in the 3 late afternoon matchups, so picking a QB stack from one of the earlier windows could make us a little different.

Onto the games!

Texans @ Titans

• No Tank Dell. Probably no Nico Collins. Mills has a history of helping his WR1 have a good day. In case anyone forgot, the Titans are awful against perimeter WRs, so hello Noah Brown.
• Robert Woods could be in line for a volume-based day as well. I also believe in the talent that is John Metchie so potentially he gets a chance as well.
• The Titans have been middle of the road against RBs. Trying to figure out if it’s going to be a Devin Singletary or Dameon Pierce isn’t something I’m in the mood for.
• It’s a revenge game for Deandre Hopkins. Garrett Wilson just went bananas against this defense and specifically against CB Steven Nelson who is allowing 16.1 yards per reception. Nelson is the CB who DHop should see most of the day.
• The Texans have been better against the run, but Derrick Henry makes for a low owned GPP play.

Bears @ Browns

• It could be a sneaky decent spot for both Justin Fields and DJ Moore. The Browns defense, formidable on paper, is dealing with some injuries. CB Denzel Ward and S Juan Thornhill may miss this game. S Grant Delpit is out as well.
• Joe Flacco has attempted over 44 passes in each of his 2 starts. Cooper saw 14 targets last week and Njoku had a 25% target share which resulted in 2 TDs. The Bears have been better on defense, especially against the RB position. If they keep the Browns from running the ball, expect Flacco to take to the air. Expect it even more if the Browns fall behind early.
• The Browns DST should have some ownership on Sunday. It may not be a ceiling game for that unit, however.

Buccaneers @ Packers

• It might be a good day for Jordan Love and some of his pass catchers as the Buccaneers could be without CB Jamel Dean and LB Devin White.
• Jayden Reed’s ownership makes sense considering his growing role and with Christian Watson unlikely to play.
• Mike Evans is of interest to me after a down game last week, so his ownership numbers should be depressed. CB Jaire Alexander may miss, and the Packers have a difficult time generating pressure on the QB, which should give Baker time to find Evans down the field.
• Chris Godwin could miss this game too, so I’m not opposed to Cade Otton or Trey Palmer either.

Falcons @ Panthers

• One Bijan Robinson, please. The Falcons want to run and the Panthers can’t stop it.
• Do I have to say anything else about this game? Please don’t make me.

Jets @ Dolphins

• Much is being made about the weather in this game. As I type this I am sitting on my lanai in south Florida enjoying the light breeze and cooler temperatures. Sure things may change by tomorrow, but be careful not to get sucked in by Chicken Littles of the fantasy world.

• The larger concern for me is the status of Tyreek Hill, who has not practiced all week. He should play through his ankle injury, but it’s also a challenging matchup against a tough secondary.
• If there is no Tyreek, downgrade everything for Tua Tagovailoa and expect Miami to turn to their ground game with Mostert and Achane.
• However, the other thing to monitor with Miami is the 3 injuries they have along their offensive line. When you consider all the variables in this game, it may make for a much different matchup then it how it looks on paper.
• When Zach Wilson is playing QB, Garrett Wilson averages 11.5 targets a game. At $5800 on DraftKings, expect him to have some ownership on Saturday despite getting the Jalen Ramsay treatment.
• The Dolphins have been pretty good vs the run, so I’m not gravitating toward Breece Hall.

Chiefs @ Patriots

• People don’t seem to be interested in playing Patrick Mahomes or his pass catchers against the New England Patriots defense, but it’s not like they are lining up to play the New England DST either. Mahomes should have all day to pass as the Patriots don’t generate pressure that well.
• CEH sucks and the Pats are good against the run. The Chiefs aren’t going to run the ball on Sunday if Pacheco is out again.
• This feels like a game where this big difference maker will be the Kansas City defense. Prior to last week’s spike of 21 points in a short period of time, the Patriots offense scored a total of 20 points in their 3 previous games.
• The big thesis out there is that the Pats will take away Travis Kelce. News break, Taylor Swift already did that. As such, many are peddling Rashee Rice as the play, and Mr. Rice will have ownership on Sunday.

Giants @ Saints

• The Giants were a different team with Andrew Thomas back on their offensive line last week.
• This game could feature a lot of plays considering how fast the Saints have been playing this year, and the fact that the Gmen have increased their no huddle rate significantly with Tommy DeVito at QB.
• Saquon had 20 carries last time out and found the end zone twice. The Saints have been the 4th worst team against RBs over the last month.
• Chris Olave is a game time decision. He did not practice all week.
• Taysom Hill went full on Friday. You just know he’s going to wreck shit up for what is the first round of playoffs in many seasonal leagues.

49ers @ Cardinals

• The Cardinals have been the 3rd worst team against RBs, the 6th worst vs WRs, and the 8th worst vs TEs over the last 4 weeks.
• CMC’s ownership numbers make sense, but just remember that he needs a ceiling game of 2 TDs and/or over 100 yards receiving or rushing to make the optimal lineup.
• In the last 2 games, Deebo Samuel has 15 total touches for 288 yards and 5 TDs. Deebo plays all over the formation, ranks 2nd in the NFL against zone coverage, and 1st against 2 high safety looks. Arizona predominantly plays both of those schemes.
• Considering the spread and likely game script, a garbage time TD or 2 for Jordan Mason could be in play.
• Speaking of that game script, Kyler Murray should be forced to pass and use his legs here, but he’s also likely to make mistakes along the way.
• Hollywood Brown and Michael Wilson have been limited at practice this week. Should either miss, I’m interested in a low owned Greg Dortch.
• Trey McBride is top 3 in receptions and fantasy points among all TEs since Week 8. The 49ers aren’t an easy matchup, but the volume continues to be there for the chalky McBride.

Commanders @ Rams

• Focusing on just the last 4 weeks, we can see that the Commanders are the 2nd worst team against the QB, the worst team against RBs, the 2nd worst against WRs, and the best against TEs. The Rams are going to have their choice between Kyren Williams or their WRs when it comes to how they want to beat Washington.
• Kyren looks like Todd Gurley 2.0. You’d be hard pressed to find a back who is getting the volume that he is getting right now.
• Cooper Kupp has arguably the best matchup out of the slot against CB Danny Johnson, but Puka Nacua and/or Demarcus Robinson could certainly have their way against Benjamin St-Juste and Kendall Fuller. Kupp has 18 targets over his last 2 games, and had a TD in each game.
• Sam Howell has continued his gunslinging ways as the season has progressed. The 49ers have been pretty stout against the run and against the TE position, but their weakness has been against WRs.
• The 49ers use a mix of man and zone coverage. Jahan Dotson is not to be trusted against zone.
• Curtis Samuel has 17 targets in his last 2 games and the Rams are allowing production to opposing slot WRs at a top 10 rate.
• The wild card is the Rams defensive front, specifically Aaron Donald. If they stop Howell from keeping pace in this matchup, it will likely be more of a ground game for the Rams. It’s something to consider if you’re opting to play Matt Stafford, who looks like the highest owned QB on the week.

Cowboys @ Bills

• The Bills already depleted secondary just got more depleted with the loss of Safety Micah Hyde. Considering the injuries, the slot matchup with CB Taron Johnson, and the 2 high safety scheme that Buffalo employs, Ceedee Lamb should feast. The Cowboys have been throwing heavily and should continue to do so on Sunday.
• Under new play caller Joe Brady, the Bills have upped their pace of play, but they are also running the ball more. James Cook should still see touches on Sunday even though Dallas has been one of the best defenses against the RB position over the last month.
• The Cowboys defense should dial up pressure against Josh Allen, which may make him likely to scramble for rushing yards.
• DK Metcalf and AJ Brown had successful days against the Cowboys, so I would expect the Bills to look Stefon Diggs’ way fairly often.
• Gabe Davis struggles in general, but especially against man coverage, which the Boys like to use.

Thanks for reading! Follow me on the website formerly known as Twitter @Borisnow00. And join the Discord for updates on Sunday morning.