Hey all and welcome to Week 6 of the NFL season! Last week was looking really good for my Kamara + Saints and Burrow + Chase stacks. Too damn bad I had James Conner in those lineups too. Alas, twas not meant to be. Here is the link to my article on Gridiron Experts should you feel so inclined.

On to the games!

Minnesota @ Chicago

• It’s funny, Jordan Addison and KJ Osborn are gathering ownership but poor Kirky is not. I don’t think I buy it, Cousins stacks are still in play without Justin Jefferson. Addison could be heavily owned.
• Alexander Mattison should have a decent day here, but I’m not counting on him being a GPP winner against this middle of the road running defense.
• Minnesota’s passing defense is not as bad as people might think, but they are still giving up a solid QB rating to opposing QBs. Fields is in play and hopefully he can complete a pass to more than one WR this time.

San Francisco @ Cleveland

• CMC could have 79 total yards or over 100 with 3 TDs. Cleveland is pretty good against the run, but it’s tough to count CMC out, especially considering his involvement in the passing game.
• Cleveland is also half decent against the pass. I expect the 49ers to win here, but I wouldn’t be surprised if not many points are scored. In my 20 max lineups I’ll probably have a few 49ers stacks since they should be low owned.
• George Kittle came to life last week, he could catch 7 and have 3 TDs or have only 1 grab for 5 yards.
• Brandon Aiyuk is getting a little bit of ownership. This offense, from a target perspective, is divided near equally into four options. Here are the season target numbers for the 49ers:
  • Deebo Samuel – 31
  • Brandon Aiyuk – 27
  • CMC – 24
  • George Kittle – 23
• If playing anyone from the Browns, I’d use Cooper. PJ Walker is going to have to rely on someone.

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville

• Jacksonville is getting quite good at limit opposing team’s run games. Just look what they did to Atlanta.
• Minshew will likely look Pittman’s way today. Not sure an explosion game is in the works, but 6 for 87 out of Pittman sounds right.
• Josh Downs is a popular low salary play as he appears to be the second option in this passing attack. Indy is likely to throw in this one.
• The Colts can’t cover outside receivers. Hello, Calvin Ridley, who already smashed in this matchup in Week 1.
• Zay Jones hasn’t practiced all week, so his replacement will be one of Jamal Agnew, Elijah Cooks, or Tim Jones. If one ’em scores a TD this week, remember where you heard those names mentioned.
• Etienne had a solid day in this matchup as well. I could see a repeat effort here.
• Trevor Lawrence will be one of the higher owned QBs in Week 6.

Carolina @ Miami

• Raheem Mostert will have a good amount of ownership. Achane is on IR so Wilson or Ahmed is about to step into that role.

• In DFS, Hill is the preferred go to, which leaves Waddle as the low owned pivot for potentially that one time he will outscore Tyreek.
• Tua is around 7% as the public worry is that the Dolphins will be up so much that they won’t need to throw or even keep Tua in the game.
• Adam Thielen is the preferred option for Bryce Young, but Jonathan Mingo’s role in the passing game continues to expand, and DJ Chark is good for a deep threat.
• Miles Sanders has not practiced all week, so that makes it Chuba Hubbard SZN. Raheem Blackshear is a name no one is bandying about. He’s my biggest candidate for a “That Helps No One!” touchdown.

Seattle @ Cincinnati

• The way to attack the Seahawks seems to be by throwing. Good thing that’s what Cincy does, so it’s wheels up again for Burrow and Chase. Higgins fully participated in practice, so he should be back tomorrow.
• Joe Mixon looks to be high owned, but I don’t believe it. Statistics aren’t suggesting that this is a good play.
• Geno Smith and Metcalf aren’t carrying much ownership, but folks are gravitating toward Lockett.
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba played at Ohio State. He’s totally getting a TD.
• Kenneth Walker is looking low owned for some reason, I expect him to be higher in this plus matchup for Seattle’s ground game.

Washington @ Atlanta

• Logan Thomas is one of Sam Howell’s frequent first reads, he should be open often against the Falcons’ zone coverage.
• If the first read isn’t Thomas, it’s McLaurin. Not as good of a matchup for him as Thomas, but he makes for a low owned pivot in tournaments.
• The Falcons are middle of the pack against the run. Brian Robinson (not to be confused with Bijan, and let’s be honest, their near identical names are annoying but first world problems and I digress) should have a half decent day, maybe find the end zone, but I’m not expecting a huge day here.
• Jonnu Smith’s existence will cap Kyle Pitts’ ceiling.
• I like Bijan Robinson to possibly have a smash day after disappointing many in a perceived plus matchup last week.
• Drake London is a red zone weapon the Falcons like to use. I have him finding the end zone this weekend.
• Desmond Ridder was in some GPP winning lineups last week. I’m not betting on that happening again.

New Orleans @ Houston

• Kamara and the Saints defense treated me well last weekend. I’m asking for Kamara to do it again at least. Houston isn’t as bad against the run as in years past, but Kamara’s involvement in the passing game makes him viable, especially in PPR formats.
• Olave and MT are leading this team in targets while Rashid Shaheed comes in third and averages the highest depth of target out of the three. Keep in mind though, Kamara is 4th with 17 targets through only 2 games.
• Stroud is looking quite solid for a rookie, and Nico Collins is still his primary target.
• Tank Dell got in a limited practice on Friday after not participating all week. He has chance to play in Week 6.
• The Saints are allowing only a little over 100 rush yards per game. While that sounds high, it’s good for top 10 in the league, so it could be tough sledding for Dameon Pierce.

New England @ Las Vegas

• Revenge narratives a-plenty in this one. Jakobi Meyers looks like a popular play on Sunday. He’s averaging 10 targets in every game he’s played with Jimmy G.
• Davante Adams. Don’t forget about Dre here. Adams has had his way with JC Jackson in the last two times he’s played the Chargers.
• New England is pretty decent against the run, but Jacobs will likely be less owned than the passing attack.
• Tyquan Thornton may suit up in this one with JuJu and Douglas out. I remember him scoring a couple TDs at near zero ownership once.
• Mac Jones continues to be the starter here, I’m not sure Bellichick is as smart as we all thought he was. Maybe it’s early onset dementia or something.
• The Raiders DST will be popular as it’s a revenge game for McDaniels, but Bill should also know some of McDaniels and Jimmy G’s tendencies, so the Pats DST will be popular as well.

Arizona @ L.A. Rams

• Last week Nacua and Kupp combined for a 67% target share in the Rams offense. That’s quite high.

• I’ll be using Rams stacks in my DFS lineups.
• Kyren Williams could be in line for a big day as well. Joe Mixon ran the ball 25 times against the Cards in Week 5. This bodes well for Kyren Williams as the Cardinals are yielding 4.4 yards per carry and average 132 rushing yards a game.
• Joshua Dobbs continues to be serviceable for the Cardinals. Hollywood Brown has maintained his WR1 role, and his ownership is high again in Week 6. The Rams secondary has been better than expected, so a ceiling game may not be in the cards (pun intended).
• Keontay Ingram and Emari Demercado are in line to take over for James Conner. It’s a gamble to play either of these guys and expect bellcow work, but we’ll have a better sense of what the plans over the next four weeks are after this one. Both are low priced.

Philadelphia @ NY Jets

• D’Andre Swift could be a popular play as the Jets are one of the worst teams against the run.
• Jalen Hurts continues to be viable because of his 1 yard TD plunges.

• DeVonta Smith is looking at 2.5% ownership. One of these days he’ll be a GPP winner. AJ Brown has around 7%.
• The Eagles secondary has continued to struggle this season. They’ve allowed the 3rd most fantasy points per game to outside WRs so welcome to my player pool Garrett Wilson.

Detroit @ Tampa Bay

• Mike Evans was a full participant at Friday’s practice so there goes my dream of playing a low owned Trey Palmer in GPPs.
• Detroit basically cannot be run on, so the Bucs are going to need Baker to be effective in the passing game if they plan on competing.
• Vita Vea is on of the best defensive linemen in the league, therefore David Montgomery’s ceiling could be capped in this matchup even if Jahmyr Gibbs (likely) misses. Three-yard TD plunges from a Detroit RB should never be counted out of the realm of possibilities.
• Goff is on the road so don’t play him.

Thanks for reading! Follow me on the website formerly known as Twitter @Borisnow00. And join the Discord for updates on Sunday morning.