DFO, money comes in – End of Regular Season

Gambling

ballsofsteelandfury - January 7, 2016January 7, 2016

Well, many of you said we didn’t know what we were doing. Many doubted that we could make money. To that I say this: ONLY I PROVED YOU RIGHT!!

Everyone else is showing a profit as we head into the playoffs! Excellent work, my friends! There is a reason I don’t go to Vegas any more…

Now, since the season is over and the SuperContest that was the basis for our lines is complete, I’m not sure where we go from here. Do we continue betting onto the playoffs? I say

The odds for this weekend’s playoff games as of Tuesday, January 5, 2016 are as follows:

Kansas City -3 at Houston

Pittsburgh -3 at Cincinnati

Seattle -5 at Minnesota

Green Bay -1 at Washington

If you like home underdogs, this is your week. What say you, gentlemen?

WhyEaglesWhy

Why, I DO like home underdogs, thanks for asking! In fact, I’m going to bet all four of these games (although I’m going to take the home underdog in only two).

Chefs -3 over TEXANS – Call me a homer for Big Red (which I am, I love the guy), but I feel like KC has proved its mettle against better teams. The Texans are a 6-10 team masquerading as a playoff team because of their schedule. Also, let’s not forget that Alex Smith turns into Dan Fouts come playoff time. Yes, the Chiefs lost to the Colts in the first round two years ago, but Jamaal Charles got hurt in the first quarter and they scored 44 points anyway. Smith has played in 3 playoff games, throwing for 9 TDs, 0 INTs, and 7.7 YPA (which would have ranked 6th in the NFL this season). He’s a secret playoff killer. Stakes: $44 to win $40.

BENGALS +3 over Steelers – I bought the “Steelers are the team nobody wants to play!” narrative a lot more before they took a Najeh on the field against the Ravens and had a very underwhelming performance against the Browns. Despite losing, the Bengals played their asses off against the Broncos, and I’m making this bet assuming A.J. McCarron is playing. He’s not terrible. Stakes: $22 to win $20.

SLURS +1 over Packers – The Slurs are a legit 9-7 team. That’s been enough to take care of the Packers lately, unless Aaron Rodgers goes all “Baseball Bugs” and blocks and catches for himself. The Slurs are also really good at home. Stakes: $22 to win $20.

Seahawks -5 over VIKINGS – I’m not happy about it. I’d love our own yeah right to have a joyous victory, and I kinda like Teddy Bridgewater. But man, this doesn’t look good for the Vikes. The Seahawks were 5-3 on the road this year, meaning that in sharp contrast to recent years, they played equally well at home and on the road. Let’s also not forget that they beat the Vikings by 31 at their place. Stakes: $33 to win $30.

DTZM

So I’m in a league that goes through the playoffs, and I am rooting specifically for my remaining players. THEREFORE I am going with:

Pittsburgh -3 at Cincinnati – I have BEN and Antonio Brown playing, so here’s where my money goes. $44 to win $40

Seattle -5 at Minnesota – Very similar. I’m playing Russ Wilson and Tyler Lockett (my favorite player, btw) so LET’S GO SEAHAWKS. $44 to win $40

Kansas City -3 at Houston – This one is tough. I have Chark West and Nuk Hopkins, so it’s a push. Since I have extra WR’s left, I’ll go with the Chiefs here. $11 to win $10

Green Bay -1 at Washington – DON’T CARE. I think Washington puts Green Bay’s miserable (by their perspective) season to the torch, here. But I couldn’t care less. $11 to win $10.

King Hippo

The one thing that strikes me as we enter wild card, bitches! weekend is that none of the participants is demonstrably shitty this year. Though we do get the oddity of 4 home dogs, though the 2 I like aren’t quite as doggy-dog as I’d like them to be, given that they are widely considered the two least playoff-worthy squadrons. Fuck it, taking ’em anyway, but not with lofty wagers.

TEXANS +3 over Chiefs. I read Bill Barnwell’s piece on every playoff team’s kryptonite, and though the Chefs give LOTS of other sides heartburn…guess who their ONE poor matchup might be? The imaginary team (which we should support out of solidarity, at least here) shuts down the underneath stuff, but is vulnerable deep/ Ruh roh, Tiny Hands. Bet $33 to win $30.

REDACTEDS +1 over Packers. When in doubt, bet against the team that has no OL, and a moron for a head coach. The Redacteds feel really good about themselves right now, and the emotion of a home playoff game can get them through one round against a team that just wants this season over so Fatass McCarthy can be fired. Then the Panthers or Cardinals kick their teeth in the following week. Bet $22 to win $20.

Name Balls of Steel Initial Bankroll: 200

Pick #	Favorite	Underdog	Line	Wager	Winner?	Winnings	Bankroll Balance
1	San Diego	Detroit	3	11	Y	10.00	210.00
2	Minnesota	San Francisco	2.5	11	N	-11.00	199.00
3	Tennessee	Cleveland	1	11	N	-11.00	188.00
4	Philadelphia	Dallas	5.5	11	Y	10.00	198.00
5	NY Jets	Philly	2.5	11	Y	10.00	208.00
6	Indianapolis	Tennessee	3	11	Y	10.00	218.00
7	Oakland	Chicago	3	11	N	-11.00	207.00
8	Buffalo	Tennessee	2.5	11	Y	10.00	217.00
9	Kansas City	Chicago	9	11	Y	10.00	227.00
10	Green Bay	St. Louis	9	11	N	-11.00	216.00
11	St. Louis	Cleveland	5.5	11	N	-11.00	205.00
12	Arizona	Baltimore	7.5	11	N	-11.00	194.00
13	New England	Miami	8	11	N	-11.00	183.00
14	Kansas City	Detroit	5	11	N	-11.00	172.00
15	Minnesota	Chicago	1.5	11	Y	10.00	182.00
16	Pittsburgh	Oakland	4	22	Y	20.00	202.00
17	Washington	New Orleans	PK	11	N	-11.00	191.00
18	New England	NY Giants	7	11	Y	10.00	201.00
19	Miami	Dallas	PK	11	Y	10.00	211.00
20	Seattle	San Francisco	12.5	11	N	-11.00	200.00
21	New England	Buffalo	7	11	PUSH	0	200.00
22	New England	Denver	3	55	N	-55.00	145.00
23	NY Jets	NY Giants	2.5	11	N	-11.00	134.00
24	Miami	Baltimore	4	11	Y	10.00	144.00
25	Buffalo	Houston	3	11	N	-11.00	133.00
26	Carolina	Atlanta	7.5	33	N	-33.00	100.00
27	St. Louis	Tampa Bay	2.5	11	N	-11.00	89.00
28	Jacksonville	Atlanta	3	11	N	-11.00	78.00
29	New England	NY Jets	3	78		-78.00	0.00

Name WhyEaglesWhy Initial Bankroll: 200

Pick #	Favorite	Underdog	Line	Wager	Winner?	Winnings	Bankroll Balance
1	Denver	Baltimore	4.5	11	N	-11.00	189.00
2	Houston	Kansas City	1	11	Y	10.00	199.00
3	Carolina	Houston	3	11	N	-11.00	188.00
4	NY Giants	Atlanta	3	11	Y	10.00	198.00
5	Philadelphia	Dallas	5.5	11	Y	10.00	208.00
6	Cleveland	Oakland	3.5	11	Y	10.00	218.00
7	Miami	Buffalo	3	11	Y	10.00	228.00
8	Oakland	Chicago	3	11	N	-11.00	217.00
9	Philadelphia	New Orleans	4.5	11	N	-11.00	206.00
10	Arizona	Detroit	2.5	22	Y	20.00	226.00
11	Houston	Indianapolis	1	11	Y	10.00	236.00
12	New England	Indianapolis	7.5	22	N	-22.00	214.00
13	Philadelphia	NY Giants	4.5	11	N	-11.00	203.00
14	St. Louis	Cleveland	5.5	11	N	-11.00	192.00
15	Miami	Houston	4	11	Y	10.00	202.00
16	Washington	Tampa Bay	3	11	N	-11.00	191.00
17	Kansas City	Detroit	5	11	N	-11.00	180.00
18	Minnesota	Chicago	1.5	11	N	-11.00	169.00
19	New Orleans	NY Giants	3	11	Push	0	169.00
20	Pittsburgh	Cincinnati	PK	11	Y	10.00	179.00
21	Baltimore	San Diego	3.5	11	Y	10.00	189.00
22	Atlanta	San Francisco	7	11	N	-11.00	178.00
23	New York Giants	Tampa Bay	2.5	11	Y	10.00	188.00
24	San Diego	Chicago	4	11	Y	10.00	198.00
25	Oakland	Minnesota	3	11	Y	10.00	208.00
26	Seattle	Arizona	3	11	Y	10.00	218.00
27	Miami	Dallas	PK	22	Y	20.00	238.00
28	Washington	Dallas	4.5	11	N	-11.00	227.00
29	Denver	San Diego	4	11	Y	10.00	237.00
30	Seattle	Minnesota	PK	11	Y	10.00	247.00
31	Tennessee	Jacksonville	2.5	11	Y	10.00	257.00
32	New England	Philadelphia	9.5	11	Y	10.00	267.00
33	Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	2.5	11	Y	10.00	277.00
34	St. Louis	Detroit	PK	11	N	-11.00	266.00
35	New England	Houston	3	33	Y	30.00	296.00
36	Carolina	NY Giants	4.5	11	Y	10.00	306.00
37	Arizona	Philadelphia	4.5	22	Y	20.00	326.00
38	Jacksonville	Atlanta	3	11	N	-11.00	315.00
39	Denver	Cincinnati	3.5	11	N	-11.00	304.00
40	Pittsburgh	Baltimore	10	11	N	-11.00	293.00
41	New England	NY Jets	3	22	N	-22.00	271.00
42	Philadelphia	Washington	3	11	Y	10.00	281.00
43	NY Jets	Buffalo	3	33	N	-33.00	248.00
44	Pittsburgh	Cleveland	10.5	22	Y	20.00	268.00
45	Kansas City	Oakland	6.5	11	N	-11.00	257.00
46	Green Bay	Minnesota	3	11	Y	10.00	267.00
47	Kansas City	Houston	3	44		-44.00	223.00
48	Pittsburgh	Cincinnati	3	22		-22.00	201.00
49	Green Bay	Washington	1	22		-22.00	179.00
50	Seattle	Minnesota	5	33		-33.00	146.00

Name King Hippo Initial Bankroll: 200

Pick #	Favorite	Underdog	Line	Wager	Winner?	Winnings	Bankroll Balance
1	Green Bay	Chicago	7	22	N	-22.00	178.00
2	Cincinnati	Oakland	3	11	N	-11.00	167.00
3	New England	Buffalo	1	55	Y	50.00	217.00
4	New England	Jacksonville	13.5	11	N	-11.00	206.00
5	Seattle	Chicago	14.5	11	N	-11.00	195.00
6	Oakland	Chicago	3	55	N	-55.00	140.00
7	Atlanta	Washington	7	22	Y	20.00	160.00
8	Tampa Bay	Jacksonville	3	22	N	-22.00	138.00
9	Denver	Oakland	4.5	33	N	-33.00	105.00
10	New England	Indianapolis	7.5	44	N	-44.00	61.00
11	Atlanta	New Orleans	3.5	33	Y	30.00	91.00
12	Seattle	Carolina	7	22	Y	20.00	111.00
13	Carolina	Philadelphia	3	33	Y	30.00	141.00
14	Houston	Tennessee	3	11	N	-11.00	130.00
15	Seattle	Dallas	6	11	Y	10.00	140.00
16	Atlanta	Tampa Bay	7	11	Y	10.00	150.00
17	Kansas City	Detroit	5	22	N	-22.00	128.00
18	Pittsburgh	Oakland	4	11	Y	10.00	138.00
19	Cincinnati	Cleveland	11.5	11	N	-11.00	127.00
20	Philadelphia	Dallas	2.5	11	N	-11.00	116.00
21	Baltimore	Jacksonville	5.5	22	Y	20.00	136.00
22	Green Bay	Detroit	11.5	33	N	-33.00	103.00
23	Jacksonville	Tennessee	3	33	Y	30.00	133.00
24	Atlanta	Indianapolis	5.5	22	Y	20.00	153.00
25	New England	Buffalo	7	33	PUSH	0.00	153.00
26	Dallas	Carolina	1.5	153	Y	139.00	292.00
27	Seattle	Minnesota	PK	55	N	-55.00	237.00
28	New England	Philadelphia	9.5	22	N	-22.00	215.00
29	New York Jets	NY Giants	2.5	22	N	-22.00	193.00
30	Pittsburgh	Indianapolis	7	11	N	-11.00	182.00
31	Arizona	Minnesota	8.5	33	Y	30.00	212.00
32	Chicago	Washington	3	22	Y	20.00	232.00
33	Indianapolis	Jacksonville	PK	22	Y	20.00	252.00
34	NY Giants	Miami	1	11	Y	10.00	262.00
35	St. Louis	Tampa Bay	2.5	33	N	-33.00	229.00
36	Cincinnati	San Francisco	4.5	22	Y	20.00	249.00
37	Denver	Cincinnati	3.5	55	Y	50.00	299.00
38	Seattle	St. Louis	13.5	22	Y	20.00	319.00
39	Philadelphia	Washington	3	22	Y	20.00	339.00
40	Detroit	San Francisco	9.5	11	N	-11.00	328.00
41	NY Jets	Buffalo	3	22	Y	20.00	348.00
42	Carolina	Tampa Bay	10.5	22	N	-22.00	326.00
43	Denver	San Diego	9	11	Y	10.00	336.00
44	St. Louis	San Francisco	3.5	11	Y	10.00	346.00
45	Kansas City	Houston	3	33		-33.00	313.00
46	Green Bay	Washington	1	22		-22.00	291.00

Name Darkest Timeline Zack Morris Initial Bankroll: 200

Pick #	Favorite	Underdog	Line	Wager	Winner?	Winnings	Bankroll Balance
1	Seattle	St. Louis	4.5	11	N	-11.00	189.00
2	Denver	Baltimore	4.5	11	N	-11.00	178.00
3	Baltimore	Oakland	5.5	11	N	-11.00	167.00
4	New Orleans	Tampa	5.5	11	N	-11.00	156.00
5	Indianapolis	Jacksonville	9	22	Y	20.00	176.00
6	Oakland	Chicago	3	11	N	-11.00	165.00
7	Cincinnati	Kansas City	5.5	55	N	-55	110.00
8	Buffalo	NY Giants	4.5	22	Y	20	130.00
9	Kansas City	Chicago	9	11	N	-11.00	119.00
10	Cincinnati	Seattle	3	11	PUSH	0	119.00
11	Seattle	Carolina	7	11	Y	10	129.00
12	Arizona	Pittsburgh	3	11	Y	10	139.00
13	Atlanta	San Francisco	7	11	N	-11.00	128.00
14	Cincinnati	Cleveland	11.5	11	Y	10.00	138.00
15	New Orleans	Washington	PK	55	N	-55.00	83.00
16	Carolina	Tennessee	5	11	Y	10.00	93.00
17	Philadelphia	Tampa	5.5	11	Y	10.00	103.00
18	Chicago	Denver	1	44	Y	40.00	143.00
19	Atlanta	Jacksonville	3	44	N	-44.00	99.00
20	Arizona	Philadelphia	3.5	33	Y	30.00	129.00
21	Houston	Jacksonville	6	129	Y	117	246.00
22	Pittsburgh	Cincinnati	3	44		-44.00	202.00
23	Seattle	Minnesota	5	44		-44.00	158.00
24	Kansas City	Houston	3	11		-11.00	147.00
25	Green Bay	Washington	1	11		-11.00	136.00