The Case for Holding Out

As you may or may not have heard, the Arizona Cardinals used their first overall pick to draft Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray last week. This wasn’t the most shocking move considering the Cardinals hired Kliff Kingsbury, of Air Raid Offense fame, who has been a Murray fan for years and has developed a system for which Murray is considered an excellent fit. Then again, if you only got your news from Cardinals’ social media, you might have been a bit surprised to see General Manager Steve Keim select a quarterback with his first round pick for consecutive seasons.

Lookit, I never gave Josh Rosen‘s NFL career much thought when he was drafted by Arizona last year. This is a franchise that markets itself as radically transformed since Simple Mike Bidwill took over a decade ago. However, their limited success came from the twilight performances of seasoned vets Kurt Warner and Carson Palmer while failing to even halfway develop any young quarterbacks. Matt Leinart, Max Hall, Logan Thomas, John Skelton — why would Josh Rosen be any different? He was drafted to a team in need of a top to bottom rebuild and the man they entrusted to develop Rosen (behind the veteran leadership of Sam Bradford) was OC Mike McCoy, who was fired by Halloween.

Also, we all know the B.S. games teams play regarding players and draft picks. It’s part of the business. So yeah, it’s too bad that Rosen got all hyped up by the organization all offseason as a ploy to make their #1 overall pick seem more attractive to potential trade suitors but what are you gonna do? I don’t blame the Cardinals for playing the game and I don’t blame Rosen for unfollowing the team’s social media accounts the night they became this.

And, honestly, it’s actually pretty hard to pass any judgement whatsoever on Arizona’s decision considering this franchise is much closer to this:

Than this.


But there is a lesson to be learned for many a amateur quarterback (or RG3, if he has a time machine) who are watching Rosen pack his bags for a team whose fan base is already praying for a repeat performance of his rookie season so they can draft Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa as their latest stab at a franchise QB in 2020. There is nothing in sports like the career trajectory of the NFL quarterback. A position so strongly dependent on its coaches, the defense, as well as offensive teammates to just have the opportunity to showcase your strengths. The right situation is everything for a rookie quarterback — especially now that “Day 1 Starter” is pretty much the expectation for anyone picked in the first two rounds.

Colin Kaepernick was a late second round pick on a then-impressive 49ers team that let him sit for a year and half behind Alex Smith. Kaepernick then led the 49ers to an NFC title. This was the epitome of a good situation.

Russell Wilson — same thing. Tom Brady (with the help of Alex Guerrero’s PEDs) — same thing. Heck, remember this?

But these are late picks. Guys who really should just be happy to be drafted. Whose dreams are fulfilled by simply wearing the jersey and taking the field for a couple special teams plays in a Week 4 blowout. What about the early first-round talents?

Eli Manning made it known to San Diego that he didn’t want to be a Charger. He was subsequently draft-and-traded to New York where he has gone on to win two Super Bowls and accrue a $100 million net worth. No one knocks Eli as a bad locker room guy or not a committed member of the Giants because he let pre-LA know before the draft that he wasn’t interested.

Ryan Leaf blew off a pre-draft meeting with Colts brass to signal his disinterest with the franchise. Yeah, it’s a joke on the Chargers history but do you see the Colts skulking about being forced to draft Peyton Manning first by default? More importantly, does anyone blame Leaf’s spiral down drug addiction and criminality on his decision to refuse signing with an organization led by Jim Irsay?

After a season or two of blowhard sports media complaining, even the old biddies who make up ESPN’s college football talking head analysis have come to accept that players are going to sit out bowl games to avoid pre-draft injuries. It’s a business.

So why are players — specifically early round QBs — still allowing themselves to be drafted by raging dumpster fire franchises with the understanding that, once the shine of being a top pick wears off, their entire career is hanging on the prayer that a Sean McVay arrives to salvage the team…and decides to keep you around while he does so.

No one cares. Not teams. Not fans. Not analysts. Not nobody. These teams are climbing over each other at the chance to sign any running back who can hit a hole as hard as he hits his 19 year old girlfriend. Got a passion for PEDs? Good — just don’t get caught. Hell, San Francisco just signed Nick Bosa at #2 because he can bend the corner. You think Jed York even hesitated for a second that Bosa is a slightly-closeted racist? Hell — that’s probably why York is already planning Bosa’s 2034 run for mayor!

I’m not saying every player can be choosey but, for those who can be, why not? The 2018 QB class  — Baker Mayfield (CLE), Sam Darnold (NYJ), Josh Allen (BUF), Josh Rosen (ARI), Lamar Jackson (BAL) —  were all top-ten picks except Jackson, until the third round. Teams who need a quarterback NEED A QUARTERBACK. The Jets, Bills, Cardinals, and Ravens all traded up to get QBs.

Of this group, Mayfield seems poised to be the leader of a Browns team that was ready to turn the corner in ’18 and did so. At the rate Cleveland is going, Mayfield will get a huge contract just being a pro-caliber Brown draftee. Darnold is locked on a rebuilding Jets team and is safe, though he will be out the door and relegated to permanent backup duty if this new uniform scheme doesn’t fix everything for Gang Green. Allen is done because he’s on the Bills and no Bills quarterback has life after draft day. Same for Rosen. Jackson, the last pick, has displaced aging Joe Flacco on a historically well-run franchise and looks poised to, at least, have the shot at a nice little career.

So this has turned into a long rambling mess but my point is this. If I were the agent for any quarterback in college today who might become a first round pick, I would not let them even interview with Arizona, Washington, or Buffalo and would keep veto authority if Jacksonville, NYJ, Miami, Cleveland or Cincinnati called. There is just too much potential for these front offices to kill a kid’s career before he ever gets the chance to even display his talent (or lack thereof).

That or they’ll just be dead behind a swiss cheese offensive line — which is why most of these teams need to find a quarterback in the first place. Then again…

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blaxabbath
I sat on a jury years ago, 2nd degree attempted murder case. One day the defendant wore sneakers with his suit to court. It was that day I knew he was guilty.
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[…] or whatever — this is gameday reps. What you did was, in football terms, basically go off on Steve Keim for 700 yards on seven catches with seven touchdowns AND LEFT HIM SMILING. Who could doubt what […]

[…] Uhhh, yeah, top ten. But there were nine mistakes ahead of me. […]

Dunstan

Quoting Ally McBeal? DFO turned into Cosmo so gradually, I barely noticed….

Unsurprised

I’ve met Mike Bidwell. He and that org are exactly this stupid and gross.

The Espn Arizona guy was just on Wqam and said Rosen had outside interests that some people were concerned about. When asked like what he answered “environmentalism. He’s really into the environment. He asked adidas to make his shoe out of recycled plastics”.

What a monster

— Lane (@Lane_)

April 29, 2019

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Unsurprised

These kids are told what to do their entire lives. So it’s perfectly understandable that extends to being drafted when the teams can just say “Well, there are 120 D1 starting quarterbacks …” unless their dad is Archie Manning and knows how to call a bluff from the shield. Draft by its very wording implies they are totally out of options if they are picked beyond play in the NFL or … Don’t.

BrettFavresColonoscopy

I read this as “… the Cardinals hired Kliff Kingsbury, of Air Bud fame…”

Rikki-Tikki-Deadly

I assume most Cardinals fans think that “Air Bud” is one of the characters from the fabled Bud Bowl series of Super Bowl ads.

LemonJello

I figured they just thought “Air Bud” was what kids called vaping the devil’s lettuce.

That’s what the nice blonde on Fox News told them, anyway.

Beerguyrob

“Thank God we got rid of the Jewish kid.”

— residents of Sun City, AZ.

Wakezilla

In all honesty, I think the one deterrent for kids to speak up is because they want that first round label. If you get picked in the first round, that usually means you have at least two teams willing to give you a shot if you fail at your first stint.

With that said, you’re right. High end talent should be asking teams who interview them what they can do to help the prospect to succeed. And if the answer is not satisfactory, the prospect should tell the team not to draft him

Ian Scott McCormick

“Fucking A,” Sam Bradford says as he leans back, checks his bank statement, cracks open a beer and tears his ACL.

Rikki-Tikki-Deadly

Look out, dog-humping-then-puking-then-eating-his-own-puke, there’s a new dog gif in town!

ballsofsteelandfury

If I was a top QB, I’d tell everyone to fuck off except for the Patriots. Brady will retire soon.

Rikki-Tikki-Deadly

I dunno, I feel like Guererro is going to pioneer some blood-transfusion technology to keep Brady playing longer and the Patriots will just keep drafting quarterbacks in the late rounds to drain them.

Unsurprised

And yet he’ll miraculously pass every test.