Boris’ Week 5 DFS Writeup

Hey all and welcome to my Week 5 GPP Breakdown. We’ve had two decent weeks and two subpar weeks, let’s try to right the ship here in week 5!

Discord Server is UP!!!!!

Borisville on Discord is ready to go! Please click this link to join!

If you do not have a Discord, then it should prompt you to take a moment and sign up. This will be the easiest way to communicate directly with me should you have specific questions. On my server there are channels for a variety of fantasy football topics. It is here where I will make myself available every Sunday between 11:30 and 12:30 EST. Sharkbait will attest that Discord is the way to go…unless he’s too busy making drinks or belly-aching about being sick.

I know we all follow the Open Thread here on Sunday morning, and honestly I do my best to check it to see if people have questions (btw you’re welcome @Hippo for talking you out of starting Marcus Mariota over Justin Herbert), but Discord is the best way to ask me anything. Whether you just play seasonal fantasy, or just read myself for fun, or for my exceptional GIF usage (DAMN YOU GRIDIRON!)

Discord is the best way to go to get in touch with me about fantasy football (or really anything else).

As a reminder….and a humble plea from a weary writer…I get paid in “clicks” on GridIron. The same (ahem! better) content is here on DFO, so please read here. However, if you could please just open this link and get every member of your family to do the same, I sure would appreciate it.

Also, my man Danny Carpenter legit has my back. Follow him on Twitter here and profit form his intelligence on his own blog (on which I will be posting carbon copies of my DFS articles). I don’t mean to be spamming, but he’s legit done me a solid, and I’m just trying to repay the favor.

Enough of that. Let’s get into it!!!

Week 5 GPP Stacks

There really is no game worthy of an all in game stack in my opinion. The largest total on the slate belongs to the Eagles and Cardinals at 48.5. If many are going this route, then I will probably pivot off it, but that isn’t something I’m going to know until Sunday morning. Join the Discord for those updates!

Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb has over 100 scrimmage yards in every game this year and gets a Chargers defense that is 3rd worst against RBs. Kareem Hunt could, and will likely, cut into the workload here, but I’m holding out hope that

  • Chubb’s coaching staff has finally figured out to just give Chubb the ball, and
  • Chubb will be low owned at his price.

Justin Herbert, for whatever reason, appears to be killing it on the road. I ended up playing a lot of Herbert last week after his ownership came in low. I am going to do that exact same thing this week if that is the case. The Browns have been decent against QBs thus far but those QBs are named Baker Mayfield, Joe Flacco, Mitch Trubisky, and Marcus Mariota.

If Herbert is disrespected on Sunday, then I would like to attack. Keenan Allen is out again so any combination of Austin Ekeler, Mike Williams, Gerald Everett, Josh Palmer, and even Deandre Carter if Palmer misses, is in play.

Tennessee Titans @ Washington Commanders

Through four games, here are these teams’ defensive ranks:

  • Titans
    • 7th worst vs QBs
    • 13th best vs RBs
    • 4th worst vs WRs
    • 6th worst vs TEs
  • Commanders
    • 8th worst vs QBs
    • 8th best vs RBs
    • 2nd worst vs WRs
    • 10th best vs TEs

I have interest in stacking Carson Wentz with one or two of Curtis Samuel and Terry McLaurinJahan Dotson is ruled OUT so Cam Sims or Dynami Brown should replace him. I’ll work on trying to figure out who that is. The Titans secondary is depleted and ripe for attack. Despite Washington being good against RBs, I fully expect the Titans to attack with Derrick Henry. People aren’t lining up to play the likes of Robert Woods, Nick Westbrook, and Cody Hollister, so running it back with one or two of them should be fairly unique.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills

This is more of a mention than a particular game I am looking to attack. I am kinda shocked the Steelers are going to bring out Kenny Pickett against the Bills. Whilst likely running up the score against Pittsburgh, Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs. and company could put up some serious first half points against this TJ Watt-less defense. Khalil Shakir might just end up being WR3 or even WR2 with Jameson Crowder and Jake Kumerow OUT, Isaiah McKenzie could miss with a concussion and Gabe Davis will likely play but might still be limited with his ankle issue. Shakir is near minimum priced at $3200.

I’d only stack Allen with one, maybe two of his pass catchers, and maybe run it back with Diontae Johnson or George Pickens as I simply don’t think Pittsburgh can keep up.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals

I doubt that the Cardinals have the ability to keep up here, but that doesn’t mean Jalen Hurts can’t have a day with one or two of his pass catchers. My favorite this week is Dallas Goedert as the Cardinals are the 2nd worst team in league vs TEs. Surprisingly, Arizona is the 7th best vs WRs. The Cards are susceptible to the run, so playing Eagle roulette with the backfield is in play as well.

If I had to run it back on the other side, James Conner or Marquis Brown would be my guys. The Eagles defense is not allowing many points to opposing QBs or TEs.

 

Week 5 GPP One (or Two)-Offs

Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson. Bailey Zappe is starting. Despite the Lions being one of the worst teams in the league against WRs and the worst against QBs, I find it difficult to believe that Bill Bellichick will let Zappe unleash targets to this WR core like it’s Patriots 2007. The Lions are second worst against RBs. Be careful with Jared Goff this week, his home vs road splits aren’t great. If I do run this back, it will be with a Lions pass catcher like Sun God Amon-Ra St. Brown if he plays or Josh Reynolds as the Pats are one of the best teams vs RBs.

Tom Brady with Mike Evans, Leonard Fournette, and/or Chris Godwin. The time is now. When Tom Brady gets angry, he wins gpp slates. The Falcons have not been great against WRs, Tom has some stuff going on in his personal life, people think he’s washed, the stars are potentially aligning here. Tom is likely to get all of his toys back at the WR spot, with Godwin being first and foremost amongst them along with his juicy matchup against CB Dee Alford. This would be a potential game stack, and I might run it back with Drake London, but I think the Falcons get creamed here.

Cooper Kupp should still get plenty of work against the Boys. Just know that should you play him at this price, he’s going to need to go over at least 25 DK points to be in the winning gpp lineup.

James Robinson. This one pains me. Chalk James Robinson has literally never worked. Even my mother knows that the Houston Texans are the worst against RBs, so playing him makes a ton of sense. Travis Etienne was mixed in a little more last week. A growing role for Etienne? Chalk Robinson? A potential injury? Be careful here. Robinson is likely a cash game lock, but the decision in gpps this week is tough.

Dameon Pierce. It’s not like the Jags are great against the run either (8th worst). The Texans have begun to give more touches and trust in Pierce, and he will likely make some sort of noise on Sunday.

Brandin Cooks destroys the Jaguars. Granted, this is a different Jags defensive group and coaching staff, but if you’re playing Robinson in gpps, Cooks makes a lot of sense as a run back.

Zach Wilson with Corey Davis is something I just can’t get away from. Tyreek Hill is 100% in play if he suits up as he was limited with a quad issue. Raheem Mostert has also been leading the way in snaps over Chase Edmonds, but I would argue both are in play here.

Dallas Cowboys DST. At their price of $2500, DraftKings has made it quite easy to discern that this is the easiest play and a cash game lock.

Buffalo Bills DST also makes a ton of sense against a rookie QB without an offensive line.

 

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borisnow
Boris had a friend in his high school freshmen English class once mistakenly call him Boris, and the name has somehow stuck ever since. He attempts to teach high school English, aspires to write and somehow make a ton of money in DFS.
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ballsofsteelandfury

Clickety click!

King Hippo

“Chubb Strong” header is a thing of beauty, FWIW.

King Hippo

You did me very solid last week- click is DONE brutha

Horatio Cornblower

I too have clicked. Gotta be .043 for Boris so far.

BrettFavresColonoscopy

I clicked on both links but don’t really understand discord, sorry for being an old.

King Hippo

it took months before I reluctantly agreed to use Slack. I am very old IN SPIRIT

BrettFavresColonoscopy

Just page me

Game Time Decision

Can this be faxed to me?

Gumbygirl

I signed up, but I’ll never remember the password. They wouldn’t let me use one I would have remembered!

King Hippo

I always am itchy when sites do that. Reckon they must be into the UBER TOP SECRETEST Q-anon stuff.