Let’s do this!
Chiefs/Ravens:
-Difference-Maker?: MVS maybe? The Baltimore D can’t be had in too many places but pass plays outside the numbers is a bit of a weakness and for K.C. this is a strength-they averaged 7.4 yards per completion and connected at a 69.3% rate.
-Scrambled or Over-Easy?: Lamar! prefers scrambled, as he ran for 489 yards on non-designed runs. Given that the Chiefs blitzed the 4th-most times Jackson needs to get chunk plays with his legs when the pocket collapses.
-Scoring defense-wise these are the two best teams in the NFL-the Ravens allow only 16.5 points per game and the Chiefs are at 17.3. That said, I’d take the over of 44 given the talent of the opposing qb’s. When they’ve played each other the lowest total was 51.
-Baltimore is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
-Bad News For Spags: Since he took over as Chiefs DC in 2019 his defenses have allowed the most qb rushing TD’s.
-Kelce needs 6 catches to tie Jerry Rice for the most in the playoffs.
-As everyone expected, Kadarius Toney is a no-show for the game. Whatever, it’s only a conference championship. I feel sorry for his new baby girl, knowing how often he’s going to drop her.
-Taylor Swift is 8-3 when attending games.
-Injuries: Joe Thuney is out, Marlon Humphrey, Mark Andrews and Pacheco are in.
-Pacheco is key in that when K.C’s rushing number passes the 100 yard threshold they are 7-2. When they fail to reach it they fall to 6-4. As individual players go, the Ravens have only allowed 100+ yards to Zach Moss and Jerome Ford.
Enjoy the tilt.
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