Let’s get at it again!
Lions/Niners:
-Injury Report: Detroit’s Hendon Hooker is listed as questionable (tooth). I did not make that up.
-Keenan 175/2, Nacua 181/1, Doubs 95, Thielen 107/1, Moore 96/1, Watson 94/1, Olave 119, Jefferson 141/1, Lamb 227/2 and Jefferson again 192/1. If you’re a #1 wr you just love playing against the Lions pass D. Will one of (or both?) Aiyuk and hobbled Deebo have a game? The Magic 8 Ball says, “Are you kidding me?”
-As you suspected, Detroit has the very worst pass defense left in the playoffs. How did they get this far then? Well, they have a habit of matching or exceeding their opponents splash plays. As a team they finished with the 2nd-most explosive plays (gains of 20+ yards) with (ugh!) 69.
-Speaking of explosive, Gibbs should have himself a game, not so much Montgomery. The reasoning behind this is that the Niners surrender 5.4 ypc on runs outside the tackles. Since week 15 they are 25th in total yards allowed and 28th in yards per carry allowed.
-San Fran is in it’s 19th Conference Championship game-that’s the most of any team.
-Stepping Up: DE Aidan Hutchinson has more than doubled his pass rush win rate in the playoffs.
-The perception is that being a 7th rounder Purdy is a dink and dunker that doesn’t take chances but guess who led all his peers in air yards per attempt?
-So I came across a site (Sumer Sports) that attempts to quantify how good a coach is at in-game decision-making. They call it Win Probability Added Over Expected which is a mouthful. Of the remaining Leaders Of Men left in the playoffs, Campbell is the best and it’s not even close. (I’ll link in the comments) Not bad for a knee-biting son of a bitch. Btw, on this list Shanny Jr. is a bottom.
It’s yours to do with as you wish.
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