I mean, at least the Donks-land blizzard was pretty?
Total margin was 7, but clearly the two best teams moved on. So, congrats to the P*ts and SeaTruthers. But also? Go fuck yourselves.
We now return you to intermittent technical difficulties.
"This site goes down so often we oughta change the name to “Dating Nancy Reagan”" – Horatio

I mean, at least the Donks-land blizzard was pretty?
Total margin was 7, but clearly the two best teams moved on. So, congrats to the P*ts and SeaTruthers. But also? Go fuck yourselves.
We now return you to intermittent technical difficulties.
This fucking day. But I can still LOL at the Boltmen.
https://www.reddit.com/r/nfl/comments/1qnlvyt/highlight_mike_mcdaniel_making_it_official_that/
Dude …
Raiders are a really good team that can very well run away with the division next year.
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They just need a better QB, better OG, better WRs, better CBs, better DTs, a head coach, and an offensive coordinator.
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Hey! Don’t forget better linebackers and safeties!
Come to think of it, why do NFL teams need to lock up players to long-term deals? The NFL would be much-improved if every season was a roster free-for-all the way NCAA is operating. Or, you know, about any other industry in America.
Also eliminate the salary cap because, with everyone now having a chance, many teams will want to cheat it.
I don’t know if it would lead to parity. But, “Team X won’t be anything for four more years because of Fired Guy’s desperate moves to keep his job,” doesn’t get me revved up to give a shit in 2030.
Franchises that have been reliably in the playoffs most years:
Patriots, Seahawks, Rams, Eagles, Buffalo, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Kansas City, Dallas, 49ers, Green Bay
Franchises that seem to be stuck in the middle with almost annual rebuilds and only occasional playoffs:
Jacksonville, Miami, Tennessee, Indianapolis, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, New Orleans, Giants, Washington, Cincinnati, Detroit, Minnesota, Chicago, Denver, Houston, Carolina
Franchises that suck balls and will probably always suck balls:
Jets, Raiders, Browns, Cardinals, Chargers
The two best teams did not move on. Payton blew it by not taking the points when the weather was good on a chip shot field goal.
The stupid maths don’t calc out in the playoffs. It’s a different beast. The few commentists that were able to get onto the site during the game pointed that out repeatedly.
Donks should have won.
The maths require being able to estimate with pretty good precision how often you can make a 4th down as well as how much the difference in field position impacts the chances of the opponent scoring on the subsequent drive, and then calculating from there.
No one is actually doing the calculations during the game, and because people in general suck at probability they took the statement that teams don’t go for it often enough to mean they should go for it all the time. It’s just as incorrect as before but at least it’s more exciting.
Even without the forecast they probably should have taken the points. New England’s defense was 2nd in the league at stopping 4th down during the regular season and the Broncos were only 10/20 on 4th which is the fewest attempts in the league and middle of the pack on percentage. Very rough, uninformed estimate, they make it 40% of the time. Then simplified calculation, if they assume they always get a TD after making the 4th and never miss the FG, 0.4*7 = 2.8 which is less than 3 so going for it is the lower expectation play.
/apologies to those who were told there would be no math
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