Instant Hippo Thoughts – Week 5, 2023 Season

What a time to be alive, eh?  Some things happened yesterday, and here is what I discrened about a subset of said things.

We get a near-perfect lineup, in terms of spacing.  1-6-4-1, with each “1” being intriguing enough to serve as a stand-alone option.  But with the NFL, every matchup/window seemingly can serve as a “surprise package” for the viewer.

Take Jaguras/Bills Mafia, for literal starters.  Explosive offenses, but it was 11-7 for what felt like 80% of the game.  It went more than a little plaid at the end, with London’s finest (but somehow the AWAY side) gaining a 2-score lead, immediately losing it, then repeating the process.  25-20, after a whole bunch of hilarity that I can’t all the way remember.  Buffalo had lots of deaths, and lots of tributes to BLEERGH.  Brokeback was in his God Mode, but somehow it wasn’t quite enough.  Solid job by Evan Engram nudging the onside kick into touch, sealing the 5:4 ratioed win.

Good news for P*ts fans?  Well, Grumblelord didn’t break his 1-week old record for “worst margin of defeat in HC career.”  And I think he’s committed to the tank.  Caleb Williams would give him a real shot at a late career renaissance.  The bad news?  He only managed by 1 point, and put up a nice, shiny goose egg AT HOME.  To…the N’Awlins Saints?  Dunno when their last away clean sheet was, but I betcha it’s been awhile.  I thought The Legend of White Mac had its final chapter last week, but surely it’s over now (5.0 YPA, 3 turnovers).  RIGHT?  Well, Bailey Zappe was 3-for-9 with 2.4 YPA, so…anyway, it’s pain regardless.  Emo Carr game-managed well, as is his nature.  34-nil, final.

Indy can’t play pass defense, and they didn’t start yesterday.  Nuk exploded for 8/140.  Jonathan Taylor carried 6 times for 18 yards.  Anthony Richardson got hurt again (shoulder this time, but throwing shoulders are kind of important).  But those plucky Humps went to 3-2 with a 23-16 win inside the Gravy Boat.  Zack Moss has been, well, very good – all season long.  And he looks like he intends to keep his job, regardless of my fellow pillhead’s contract largesse.  Nobody had run for 100 against the Tits’ front seven in quite a while.  Moss tallied 165 and 2 scores.  Does the Surly Duff crown go through Indiana?  Unfortunately for the Jaguras, they are out of London fixtures for 2023.  They’ll have to scrap to 9-8 from their humble North Florida secondary base of operations.

I was all ready to semi-crown the 500s, as CJ Stroud was excellent yet again.  First, Stroud set a record (previously held by Fat Sackford, with Dreamboat a close second) for most passing attempts without a pick to start one’s career.  Second, he led a dramatic, late Q4 TD drive to take a 19-18 lead.  Unfortunately, there was time left for Desmond Ridder to actually do a good.  Which he did, setting up Younghoe to nail the winner at the death.  21-19, Falcons.  Ridder went for 329, no picks, 8.9 YPA.  Ain’t nobody see that one coming.  He’s available on waivers, and NO you should not pick him up.  And NO, one should not take the 3-2 Falcons seriously.  Still coming down to MRSA v. Saints in the NFC South.

Baltimore and Yinzburgh slugged their way to a 17-10 mudder, typical for their rivalry.  Except it was maybe the weirdest 17 yinz’ll ever see, with PIT sitting on a lone FG for most of the game.  But with 11 and change to play, they jailhouse broke through for a punt block that just eked over the backline of the end zone for a safety.  I was excited for the shiny mathematics of a 10-5 final (as it had been 10-3 forever, and only the Ratbirds seemed like adding to their tally).  But the Stiller defense had other ideas, and clamped down like junkyard dogs.  As WCS noted live, it was typical Mike Tomlin shitshow voodoo, defying all logical explanation.  FG cuts it to 10-8, Balmer 1st and goal inside the 5 but comes away with fuckshit – tossing a bad pick on 3rd down.  Against all odds, Uncle Jack marched the “inept all day” offense down the field for an 80-yard TD drive.

Would LAMAR! have time to work his magic?  No, TJ Watt and pals turned him over yet again.  Even PIT’s formation penalty (which allowed another last gasp try, instead of being able to bleed the clock down inside 10 seconds) didn’t faze them.  They just kicked another, meaningless FG to hit 17 for the final margin.  Ratbirds do not get the road sweep of their division foes, and look who is somehow 3-2 and in first place.  Mike Motherfucking Tomlin.  Despite losing to the Texans 30-6.  Words fail.

Go look at the win probability graph here – just insane.

The other two games showed why there is no shame in taking “chalk” in your SurvivoUr pool.  DET kicked the everloving shit out of the visiting Black Panthers, as expected (42-24, thanks only to garbage time).  Baby Buster at home is perfect for this team and offense.  MIA kicked the everloving shit out of the visiting Vertically Enhanced Persons, as expected (31-16, thanks only to long FGs and a 102-yard pick six late in Q2).  Nobody in the League can keep up with the LOLfins’ speed, and they are scary as fuck.  But can they do it on a cold Tuesday night in Stoke, say the doubters.  If they get the 1 seed, who says they’ll have to?

Oh late window.  How you tortured my soul.  Of course Fatty Payton lost at home to the goddamned Jest.  After all the childish taunting of Nathaniel Hackett, how could he not?  Donks waste a breakout performance from UDFA running back (and Hippo bench participant) Jaleel McLaughlin, somehow giving up an even bigger day to “yeah I am healthy now” Breece Hall (194 total yards and a score).  Charmslinger had one last shot, thanks to a bonkers, between-his-legs-secured pickerception inside the 5 by Pat Surtain.  But 2:14 and one timeout was a hard ask, and Charmslinger fumbled before he could even cross midfield.  Noo Yawk ran it back for an unnecessary, but fair dagger of a TD, 31-21 is your final.

Joe Burrow finally looked mostly alive this week, and good for the Redshirt clan.  WKRP’s defense also stepped up, for an all-around, solid B+ performance in the desert – good for a 34-20 win over those plucky Black Powder Qards.  2-3 and not ded yet, the AFC North looks like it could be a roller coaster, with even MOAR vomit than usual.   Ja’Marr Chase broke a team record 15 catches (for 192 and THREE scores).  Chase’s yardage total was more than AZ could manage through the air, combined.  Solid work, young man.  He gon’ get PAID.

Iggles/RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRAM IT! just sped on by, or so it seemed.  Philly mostly managed the game, but Hurts finished with almost 400 total yards.  I get the feelings I am nitpicking them too much, for not being as consistent as the Tomsulas, or as flashy as the LOLfins.  Anyway, they turned a few defensive penalties into a chance for the “rolling tank” play with :02 from the 1, right before HT.  This would cap a 75-yard drive in 32 fucking seconds, for a 17-14 lead they would never relinquish – or even see reduced.  Two FGs from clock and lifeblood draining drives would give us 23-14 for a final.  If you’ve been Waiting for Goedert in fantasy?  Congrats, a winner is you this week.

Minneapolis-area Swifties were devastated – no TayTay at this game.  Travis Kelce missed his boo so much, that he did in his ankle.  Somehow, he came back to catch the decisive TD, as KC held on to win, 27-20.  Dingleberry did his usual, taking an inexcusable delay of game on 4th and 7 (they were out of timeouts), and later getting sacked rather tyhan release his load early on the game’s final play (would have been a Hail Mary from the Chefs’ 37).  Justin Jefferson also left the game with a hamstring owie, like Kelce in non-contact fashion.  Maybe, just MAYBE the players and their union are FUCKING RIGHT about playing on turf?  Anyway, KC host Denver on a short week, an easy enough task to rest their star TE.  Shit, they could play all backups and still win by 10.  Vikes are now 1-4, and mostly ded.

That leaves a Narrative-laden SNF matchup, the Cowpersons’ trip to Santa Clara.  NFC Title game preview?  Revenge and/or nostalgia for one their “seemingly around once a decade classic January battles?”  Consider the “title warning” sent out, in British parlance – as Purdy Mouth absolutely carved the N-GCp apart.  Kittle scored thrice, everyone gets their turn at the Tomsulas’ carnival (even the fullback, who scored tuddy #5).  This is as good a team as the salary cap era has seen, in my view.  I stopped the typity-typing at 35-10, early Q4.  But YES, I watched until the very end because THERE ARE RULES.

Tonight is Vegas/Packers, many of us (Hippo included) will need some fantasy fortune.  See y’all then.

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King Hippo
Reclusive, vulgar Broncos fan. Also a proud fookin' Evertonian. Likely dropped on my head repeatedly as a small child. [Insert George Carlin quote followed by thoughtful nod.]
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Rikki-Tikki-Deadly

I’m excited to see that RFK Jr. is now running as an Independent, which means the media will now start covering him as much as they cover any other independent candidate (i.e. not at all).

I wonder if there are people out there who think he is much younger than the other candidates simply because he has “Jr.” in his name.

blaxabbath

What a weird life.

I expect to be GONE in five to ten years. These fucking losers — penniless pathetic Rudy Giuliani — are going to Feinstein out chasing some, I don’t know, fleeting sense of relevance that is dictated by Facebook repost ad revenue?

scotchnaut

Dammit! I think we dropped the ball by not having an open thread for the CFL game that was played this afternoon.

Brick Meathook

I’m assuming that’s the royal “we”

scotchnaut

How I saw it in the tv listings and didn’t put 2 and 2 together? So stupid on my part. We have a weekly CFL post for chrissake!

ballsofsteelandfury

In the “What Are They Thinking?” department, a friend from work told us at lunch about a relative of theirs that is trying to get their mother on the next flight out of Tel Aviv and the mother’s response was:

“Can you get one for Wednesday instead? I have a thing on Tuesday”

This conversation was via phone while air raid alarms are going off in the background.

SonOfSpam

Maybe the “thing” on Tuesday was a quick Gaza gambling trip.

WCS

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Depends on your version of “thing.”

Brick Meathook

“The world does not stop and start at your convenience.”

blaxabbath

“This air travel trouble never would have come about FROM YOUR BROTHER THE DENTIST!!”

bk109

Unrelated – my grandparents still don’t seem to’ve gotten the hint and have also started calling my parents and wifey to get in touch with me (especially in light of the whole disowning thing)… So, I need a bit of an advice – should I ignoring them, hoping that they eventually stop calling me every couple of hours or should I bite the bullet and accept one of their calls?

Doktor Zymm

Is there any reason not to? You can always hang up

bk109

Apart from them publically disowning me for refusing to “help out” (with free money, a place to stay and vouching for my cousins at my place of work), because “it’s the right thing to do”, while pointedly ignoring that they did fuck all when I needed a bit of help, when I needed it? There’s always the part where they arrived to our place in Dublin with 0 warning, complained that we were less than “welcoming” with their visit and raised some serious stink that I never taught my kids Bulgarian……. tl;dr – there’s plenty of reasons not to and outside of the pestering and morbid curiousity, nothing in the “pro” column

SonOfSpam

Tell em you renamed your daughter Sofia and see if that helps.

Brick Meathook

Be sure to use an untraceable burner phone on a VPN vox node, in a dark room; A voice scrambler is probably a good call here too.

bk109

Actually, that’s a good idea… Not the accepting the call on the burner, but to just warn the wife and kiddos that for the time being my “always on” personal phone’s out of action, so they should use my never off work one instead, or to use the alternate ways to call me 🙂

LemonJello

Look, ignoring family has worked great for Aaron Rodgers, so why wouldn’t it work as well for you?

SonOfSpam

Gotta check his vaxx status

Doktor Zymm

It feels really strange to be pretty confident in who’s gonna win all the NFC divisions (except for maybe the South) by the end of week 5

SonOfSpam

I appreciate your confidence in the Rams’ eventual West Championship, but it ain’t a gimme.

ballsofsteelandfury

Same with Steelers

Game Time Decision

With the writers being on strike for so long, the narrative had to be written by Goddel and he’s shit that way

Doktor Zymm

I can see the Seahawks sneaking into a wild card slot, just because they’re historically good at doing that. I’ll actually be kinda annoyed if the NFC South gets 3 in, since it’ll be because the entire division has piss-poor strength of schedule rather than them having the ability to be competitive in a playoff game.

I think I’m also comfortable with Miami and KC as division winners in the AFC, I don’t see Buffalo coming back strong enough to take the division with their injuries

2Pack

Thanks Hippo. Your do the tough analysis, so we don’t have to.

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bk109

And that’s why one should run one’s internet traffic (at least that bit that won’t be hurt by a bit of extra latency) via VPN using an exit node in a country with an “iffy” record on electronic shenanigans. For extra fun, have that exit node store all its data on volatile memory (RAM), so any power outage resets it to a state, where it tries to dowload a boot image from elsewhere 😉

2Pack

I understand all of those words. But separately.

bk109

Ah, sorry, I’ll do the non-technical tl;dr instead. Neighbour’s wifi is good, but using a third-world shithole and a bit of tech to route your (non-gaming) traffic is even better 😉

bk109

Or, y’know, basic precautions in the digital age. Also, speaking of basic common-sense precautions, I just saw that the Israeli listed some basic necessities people should stockpile in light of the current situation and it’d appears that I’ve achieved a higher level of paranoia than them 🙂 Just 3 days’ worth of food and water? No suggestion on having at least some comms gear in an EMP-resistant case? Not even a mention on having a couple of hundred rounds per adult “just in case” (let alone going my route of having 2 spam cans of general purpose ammo and one of subsonic for 1900ish rounds apiece). Hell, they didn’t even mention downloading some movies/tv shows and having a device dedicated to those – and I’m not at all joking about that part, since anything that gets one’s mind out of the nightmare going on is.. kinda vital?

bk109

… playing a game in the garage, while the cleaning lady is doing her thing? I can’t decide if that’s an odd strategy (though I appreciate the laziness) or should I copy it the next time wifey starts preparing our place for the holidays. Aside from everything else, me being in a car (or if we’re in Sweden) – an AFV should reduce the risk of me getting accidentally shot by a nail gun again 😀 As for FM… I should probably pirate it obtain it via other means to see if it’s worth me finally getting back in the fold (I’ve been avoiding the series ever since the CM/FM schism)

bk109

Don’t be silly – for long term gaming or just lounging, an APC/IFV is better, because it has more legroom AND you can lie back in the troop compartment if you want, whereas a tank’s a lot more cramped (except something like the PT-76, but that’s an exception).

Gumbygirl

If you can get a car in your garage you are winning at life!

Brick Meathook

Happy Holiday of your choice!

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blaxabbath

“FAKE PROBABILITY GRAPHS!”

-Pennsylvania Republicans Who Gave Up Watching the NFL When They Allowed N-Words To Kneel

bk109

N-words?

blaxabbath

Nedskins.

bk109

OH, n-words…damn… I was actually wondering what football team you meant by N-words… I take this as a sign from above that I need a new pot of coffee (but without a goddamn paper straw this time)

blaxabbath

Don’t Hamas me, bro.

bk109

*nervous cough* On advice on counsel, I’ll refrain from making jokes and/or snide comments on the subject at this time.

Rikki-Tikki-Deadly

I’m more or less keeping my powder dry until a Hamas leader gets his face blown off.

Horatio Cornblower

I wouldn’t even bother putting a tarp over it. That’ll be happening with a quickness.

Along with a few hundred children who did nothing wrong, but, y’know

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bk109

There are few ironclad “no exceptions” kind of rules – but don’t EVER fuck with the Israelis

while there’s an actual superpower protecting them (and footing the bill) from the friends Tel Aviv made along the way, at least. Leave them to actually have to live with the consequences of their actions and 😉

bk109

Given that both sides are gleefully killing civvies (one up-close and personal, the other by levelling city blocks with JDAMs), shit’s getting worse by the hour and if the IDF moves into Gaza (and at this point they don’t have another choice, unless they want to skip straight to dropping a nuke), things will truly go into the shitter.
Stray observation, though – if the IDF go into Gaza, with what they’ve shown so far*, the first wave will be doing a large-scale reenactment of first Grozny..

* Sentries wearing fucking headphones on duty in a war zone? Solitary AFV’s used as roving patrols and/or “fire brigades” ? PEACETIME small-arms storage (lock and key, despite, y’know, being literally a kilometer away from the enemy)? Foot (and vehicular) movement in fucking tight columns in ’23?! …………….. It’s uncanny how many fuckups they’re copying from the Russians and Ukrainians (and which both sides have addressed like a year ago)…

WCS

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bk109

In my low caffeination state I assumed that it was just a nickname for a football team, same as the R-words being the Commies (now), or the S-words being those inbred shitguzzlers from Tottenham

Rikki-Tikki-Deadly

Curiously, I was just looking at the polls of the 2022 Senate race in PA, which ended with Oz leading by 0.5% (Fetterman would win the race by 10x that margin).

Horatio Cornblower

I have come to the only logical conclusion about these polls, and that is that we as a society have come to an unspoken but hive mind agreement that we will all lie to pollsters, as a bit.

BugEyedBoo

The problem is that every pollster has a secret sauce to apply to their polls, because most people don’t answer cell phones anymore. But their secret sauce is now wrong as far as politics is concerned because Trump and the Dobbs has skewed the polls a little more to the left than their secret sauce allows. See: 2022 election, Ohio’s August election, etc.

scotchnaut

Dimes is getting sacked, not pressured or hit, sacked on 16% of his throw attempts.

blaxabbath

See this is where stats don’t tell the whole story. There’s a VERY good chance that Danny’s three step drops are actually designed QB-Shot-To-The-Heads, where Mike Kafka was trying to get a flag for the first but maybe didn’t get the kill shot needed to draw the penalty.

Like those, “throw it up and see if you get a PI” things.

Last edited 6 months ago by blaxabbath
blaxabbath
Brick Meathook

If you were offered a starting QB spot on an NFL team with a medium-grade O-line, playing against NFL defenses with weak secondaries but a medium-grade pass rush, and you would get paid $625,000 per game you started (but only if you completed five passes of greater than five yards and a positive interception ratio), and you know that pass rush is coming for your ass, and you’re gonna take some hits, I ask you this: How would you spend the money?

Horatio Cornblower

Well, I wouldn’t, because I’m 54 years old with a shot throwing arm, (thanks, Little League batting practices), and don’t have a hope in hell of completing one pass for one yard against an NFL defense.

Brick Meathook

You don’t look a day over 52.

Senor Weaselo

West Coast offense, baby, seven yards at a time! Although the positive interception ratio might be tough.

BrettFavresColonoscopy

Is that Baltimore win (loss) probability graph directly tied to Fozz threatening to go nuclear about Columbus Day? Some magic 8 balls say yes.

Don T

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Horatio Cornblower

That helmet needs to be replaced with a can of ham.

Seriously, I was thinking about this last night, having an hour to myself to drive to scenic Bradley “International” Airport. It’s clear that Dak does not have any grasp of what McCarthy is trying to do with this ‘Texas Coast’ offense. He seems to know where the play requires him to throw the ball, so he throws it to that receiver no matter how many guys are draped over that receiver.

Of course, as near as I can tell McCarthy’s plays are designed for short passes over the middle, into a mass of defenders, or long passes to the side where a receiver catches the ball behind the line of scrimmage and without an blockers. Sometimes they let Dak just huk the ball deep down the sidelines, which he nods his head and does even if the receiver has two guys running stride-for-stride with him.

So basically the QB doesn’t get the offense, and even if he did the offense is basically designed to get receivers killed.

Rikki-Tikki-Deadly

THIS TEXAS COAST OFFENSE I CALL IT A GULF COAST HURRICANE BECAUSE IT BLOWS. A LOT.

Doktor Zymm

Dak has seemed reasonably capable over the years, so it’s entirely possible he gets the offense, but thinks it’s dumb and is being maliciously compliant (the best kind of compliant!)
Either way, it makes for a great watch for us Dallas haters!

Don T

CB Kristian Fulton is currently tied on my shit list with FU Christopher Colombus. But hey, Tits on next Mandatory will keep me happy all week. Desmond Ridder NO 🤣. Maybe, maybe.
Happy Thanksgiving to Canadians. Día de la Raza 😝. Yeah, heh heh Hispanic is a race alright. Of who’s freshest, and the winners are here in El Caribe. Today’s gonna be a good work day.

https://youtu.be/SHgodDZ5P9Q?si=Q4_ZweRRBQJQK9gy

Horatio Cornblower

There was a great comment about New Jersey’s favorite Hispanic, Sen. Menendez, a week or so ago. I forget who but it was basically:

/gold bars fall out of coat

Sen. Menendez: It’s OK, I’m Hispanic