Week 18 isn’t fantasy friendly that much but it does deliver on the Wrapping Things Up front, I’ll give it that. Strouding proudly into the playoffs are the Texans. You could sorta, kinda see it as their rookie qb showed that he was beyond his years and adapted even as D coordinators gathered film on him.
To The Game!
Bills/Fins:
-Diggs has been in a tremendous funk recently-he’s not gone over 74 yards in the last seven weeks. With cb Howard not being available it’s a question of whether Ramsey will shadow him or if the Fins will take a chance with (he’s still in the league?) Eli Apple.
-That Apple doesn’t fall far from the “allowed 3 catches for 104 yards and a TD last week” tree.
-Miami is 1-4 ATS vs teams that have a winning record. Seems bad but this is a team that is still on the rise. They are going to be better but they’re a bit over-rated imo, because they’re so entertaining when they win.
-Prop-age: The dust has been shaken off Fournette and he’s been activated for this game. His anytime TD number is +500. Why wouldn’t he be given the ball inside the 5 yard line and not risk an injury to Allen? Five of my $12 DFO bucks are in play.
-This McDaniels kid is going to be in the league for quite some time. Why? Durham Smythe is my example. Now that film is out there and teams have adjusted he’s running some of the exact same offensive sets but scheming his blocking tight end free. The last two weeks he’s gone for 50+ yards and averaged over 18 yards per catch vs the Ravens last week.
-Speaking of, the guy you don’t know that will get the most interviews during the next hiring cycle? That’s Miami OC Frank Smith.
-Allen has to get the motor running, get out on the highway and pass for more than 250 yards. That’s something he hasn’t done since the Bills bye week.
-The key to throwing Tua off his game? Pressure and identifying his first read. Defend long enough and his chances of success drop significantly. When he goes to his first read his completion percentage is a very impressive 80%.
Give me what you got.
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